Radically unpredictable times

16 May 2025

Back-to-back radically contrastive articles (attached):

The Forecast for 2027? Total A.I. Domination – NYT May 15th

The design of this website is amazing: https://ai-2027.com/

Why We’re Unlikely to Get Artificial General Intelligence Anytime Soon - NYT May 16th

(Thanks Mike for sending it)

This book sounds very interesting:

Empire of AI by Karen Hao

Empire of AI by Karen Hao offers an insider’s account of OpenAI’s dramatic transformation from an idealistic, safety-focused nonprofit to the powerhouse at the center of the global AI arms race. Hao, a seasoned AI journalist, chronicles how OpenAI —once aiming to keep AI safe from profit-driven dangers—succumbed to immense pressures for resources, profit, and scale, fueled by Microsoft’s billions and a relentless competitive frenzy. As the company raced ahead with technologies like ChatGPT, it increasingly relied on massive computational resources, exploited low-wage data workers, and consumed vast energy and water, raising urgent ethical and environmental concerns. Drawing from sources inside OpenAI and across the world, Hao details the internal turmoil, including Sam Altman’s shocking firing and return, revealing the true nature and motivations of the industry’s key players. Through on-the-ground reporting from Silicon Valley to the Global South, she exposes the hidden costs and human consequences of AI’s rise, presenting a sweeping and critical analysis of the power structures, ideologies, and global impacts shaping the new AI empire.